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Association between semaglutide 2.4 mg and risk of cardiovascular events in people with overweight or obesity without atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in the real-world: The SCORE – primary prevention study

Abstract

Background: Semaglutide 2.4 mg is approved for the secondary prevention of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) among individuals with overweight/obesity. We investigated its association with MACE among individuals with overweight/obesity without diabetes who had risk factors for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) in the real-world setting.

Methods: Adults (≥45 years) with overweight/obesity and ≥3 risk factors for ASCVD but without diabetes were identified from a U.S. database (01/01/2016-12/31/2024). Patients initiating semaglutide 2.4 mg were propensity-score matched 1:2 to those not on semaglutide 2.4 mg. The primary outcomes included revised 3-point MACE (rMACE-3: myocardial infarction, stroke, and all-cause mortality) and revised 5-point MACE (rMACE-5: rMACE-3, coronary revascularization, and hospitalization for heart failure [HF]). Secondary outcomes included MACE-3 and MACE-5 (replacing all-cause mortality with cardiovascular-related mortality), and HF composite outcomes.

Results: A total of 48,184 individuals on semaglutide 2.4 mg were matched to 96,368 individuals not on semaglutide 2.4 mg; patient characteristics were well-balanced between cohorts. Semaglutide 2.4 mg was associated with lower risks of rMACE-3 (HR: 0.59; p < 0.001), rMACE-5 (HR: 0.65; p < 0.001), MACE-3 (HR: 0.73; p < 0.01), MACE-5 (HR: 0.75; p < 0.01), and composite HF outcomes over a mean follow-up of 9 months.

Conclusions: Semaglutide 2.4 mg was associated with lower risk of incident MACE and HF composite outcomes in this real-world study of patients with overweight/obesity without diabetes, who were at risk for developing ASCVD. Further research is warranted to confirm the role of semaglutide 2.4 mg in the primary prevention of ASCVD in this population.


Authors: Kim G Smolderen, Carlos Mena-Hurtado, Victoria Divino, Zhenxiang Zhao, Yan Chen, Joanna Boland, Ariel Chao, Jinlin Song, B Gabriel Smolarz, Filip K Knop, Michael G Nanna

Journal: American journal of preventive cardiology

DOI: 10.1016/j.ajpc.2026.101521

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